SPY &/or QQQ have lost the 8 / 21 EMA — a pullback is in play. Cut size and be selective until they reclaim all three.
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INDEX OVERVIEWMajor index trend & momentum
SPY
S&P 500
LEAN BULL
771.77+0.28%
Daily
Weekly
Monthly
EMA 8
EMA 21
EMA 50
Bias
LEAN BEAR
BULL
BULL
QQQ
Nasdaq 100
NEUTRAL
728.00-0.13%
Daily
Weekly
Monthly
EMA 8
EMA 21
EMA 50
Bias
LEAN BEAR
LEAN BEAR
BULL
DIA
Dow 30
BULL
521.14+1.07%
Daily
Weekly
Monthly
EMA 8
EMA 21
EMA 50
Bias
LEAN BULL
BULL
BULL
IWM
Russell 2000
LEAN BEAR
275.05+1.36%
Daily
Weekly
Monthly
EMA 8
EMA 21
EMA 50
Bias
BEAR
LEAN BEAR
LEAN BEAR
VIX16.40-0.47(-2.79%)
→stableNORMAL
1Y PCTLE37%
20d SMA15.47
MARKET BREADTH
HEALTHY52.9 / 100
ABOVE 200D MA
51.8%+3.8
↑improving5d: +5.6
ABOVE 50D MA
43.6%+8.4
↑improving5d: +11.8
ABOVE 20D MA
69.1%+11.3
↑improving5d: +20.3
TOP SETUPS
102 bullish · 16 bearish · 684 scanned
BULLISH SETUPS(Calls)
TMOThermo Fisher ScientificA+
$696.55·1d+3.47%20d+5.81%·vs SPY 20d+4.4%
Breakout
Closed above 20-bar high at $694.33
Volume 1.6x 50-day average
ADX 38 — strong trend
RSI 67 · Vol 1.35x · ADR 2.8%
Health Care
Watch for break above $694.33 on volume
XYZBlock, Inc.A+
$79.82·1d+5.23%20d+4.38%·vs SPY 20d+2.9%
BB Squeeze
Bollinger width at 8.6% — bottom 10th percentile
ADX 14 — low trend, coiling for expansion
Extreme squeeze — bottom 5th percentile
RSI 59 · Vol 1.02x · ADR 2.6%
Financials
Squeeze in progress — direction TBD
NXPINXP SemiconductorsA+
$231.09·1d+4.65%20d+1.38%·vs SPY 20d-0.1%
Bullish Engulfing
Bullish engulfing candle after a decline
Near EMA support
Volume increasing on engulfing bar
RSI 49 · Vol 1.51x · ADR 2.9%
Information Technology
BEARISH SETUPS(Puts)
DDDuPontB+
$131.64·1d+2.46%20d+2.48%·vs SPY 20d+1.0%
BB Squeeze
Bollinger width at 3.8% — bottom 10th percentile
ADX 10 — low trend, coiling for expansion
Extreme squeeze — bottom 5th percentile
RSI 52 · Vol 1.11x · ADR 1.7%
Industrials
CRMLCritical Metals Corp★ LEADERB+
$6.95·1d+11.02%20d+1.16%·vs SPY 20d-0.3%
Bear Flag
Pole: -24.3% decline
Flag: 7.9% retrace over 7 bars
Volume contracted to 0.4x pole average
+3 moreRSI 48 · Vol 1.00x · ADR 6.8%
Rare Earths +8Materials
NVDANvidia★ LEADERB
$217.23·1d-1.84%20d-0.96%·vs SPY 20d-2.4%
BB Squeeze
Bollinger width at 9.9% — bottom 10th percentile
ADX 17 — low trend, coiling for expansion
Extreme squeeze — bottom 5th percentile
RSI 40 · Vol 1.14x · ADR 2.1%
Semiconductors +8Information Technology
Squeeze in progress — direction TBD
THEMES
Sorted by relative strength
▲Software / SaaS
▲ EARLYINLINE
1d+4.5%5d+1.5%20d+3.2%
RS5d+1.7%20d+1.7%
Big move today: avg +4.5% across the group
Software / SaaS · INLINE · ▲ · EARLYTracking the market — RS +1.7% over 20d, roughly in line with SPY. Trend is up (LEAN BULL) — favors calls. The daily timeframe is already turning up (+1.5% over 5d) — the short term is leading, momentum building ahead of the longer trend. Scanner flags 1 bullish / 0 bearish setup in the group.
▲Biotech
INLINE
1d+4.5%5d+1.0%20d+1.5%
RS5d+1.3%20d+0.0%
Big move today: avg +4.5% across the group
Biotech · INLINE · ▲Tracking the market — RS +0.0% over 20d, roughly in line with SPY. Trend is up (BULL) — favors calls. Scanner flags 1 bullish / 0 bearish setup in the group.
▲AI Software
INLINE
1d+4.0%5d+0.9%20d-0.7%
RS5d+1.1%20d-2.2%
▲ inflow
Big move today: avg +4.0% across the group
AI Software · INLINE · ▲Tracking the market — RS -2.2% over 20d, roughly in line with SPY. Trend is up (LEAN BULL) — favors calls. Money rotating in (recent pace accelerating).
▲Cybersecurity
▼ FADINGINLINE
1d-1.3%5d-7.0%20d+0.8%
RS5d-6.7%20d-0.7%
▼ outflow
Sharp selloff, -7.0% avg over 5 days
Cybersecurity · INLINE · ▲ · FADINGTracking the market — RS -0.7% over 20d, roughly in line with SPY. Trend is up (BULL) — favors calls. But the daily is rolling over (-7.0% over 5d) — the short term is turning against the trend. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating).
▼Fintech
LAGGARD
1d+5.6%5d-1.9%20d-4.0%
RS5d-1.7%20d-5.4%
1.3× vol▼ outflow
Big move today: avg +5.6% across the group
Fintech · LAGGARD · ▼Lagging the market — RS -5.4% over 20d, -1.7% over 5d. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Volume 1.3× the 20-day average — institutional participation. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating).
▼Gold / Metals
WEAK
1d+3.4%5d-1.6%20d-9.4%
RS5d-1.3%20d-10.8%
▲ inflow
Big move today: avg +3.4% across the group
Gold / Metals · WEAK · ▼Badly trailing SPY — RS -10.8% over 20d. Money is leaving this group. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Money rotating in (recent pace accelerating). Scanner flags 0 bullish / 1 bearish setup in the group.
Crypto
WEAK
1d+1.4%5d-2.1%20d-8.9%
RS5d-1.8%20d-10.3%
1.3× vol
All 7 names up today — group moving in lockstep
Crypto · WEAKBadly trailing SPY — RS -10.3% over 20d. Money is leaving this group. No clear directional trend (mixed EMA structure) — RS strong but choppy for direction. Volume 1.3× the 20-day average — institutional participation. Scanner flags 1 bullish / 0 bearish setup in the group.
▼Semiconductors
LAGGARD
1d-1.6%5d-12.3%20d-3.3%
RS5d-12.0%20d-4.7%
1.4× vol▼ outflow
Sharp selloff, -12.3% avg over 5 days
Semiconductors · LAGGARD · ▼Lagging the market — RS -4.7% over 20d, -12.0% over 5d. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Volume 1.4× the 20-day average — institutional participation. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating). Scanner flags 0 bullish / 1 bearish setup in the group.
▼Clean Energy / EV
WEAK
1d+2.7%5d-5.4%20d-12.6%
RS5d-5.1%20d-14.0%
▼ outflow
Sharp selloff, -5.4% avg over 5 days
Clean Energy / EV · WEAK · ▼Badly trailing SPY — RS -14.0% over 20d. Money is leaving this group. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating).
▼AI Infrastructure
LAGGARD
1d-1.9%5d-13.0%20d-7.0%
RS5d-12.7%20d-8.5%
1.5× vol▼ outflow
Sharp selloff, -13.0% avg over 5 days
AI Infrastructure · LAGGARD · ▼Lagging the market — RS -8.5% over 20d, -12.7% over 5d. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Volume 1.5× the 20-day average — institutional participation. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating).
▼Nuclear Energy
WEAK
1d+2.8%5d-8.1%20d-12.8%
RS5d-7.8%20d-14.2%
1.2× vol▼ outflow
Sharp selloff, -8.1% avg over 5 days
Nuclear Energy · WEAK · ▼Badly trailing SPY — RS -14.2% over 20d. Money is leaving this group. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Volume 1.2× the 20-day average — institutional participation. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating).
▼AI Optical
WEAK
1d-2.4%5d-17.5%20d-8.6%
RS5d-17.2%20d-10.0%
1.3× vol▼ outflow
Sharp selloff, -17.5% avg over 5 days
AI Optical · WEAK · ▼Badly trailing SPY — RS -10.0% over 20d. Money is leaving this group. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Volume 1.3× the 20-day average — institutional participation. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating).
▼Robotics / Automation
WEAK
1d+0.7%5d-10.8%20d-16.9%
RS5d-10.5%20d-18.3%
▼ outflow
Sharp selloff, -10.8% avg over 5 days
Robotics / Automation · WEAK · ▼Badly trailing SPY — RS -18.3% over 20d. Money is leaving this group. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating).
▼Defense & Drones
WEAK
1d+2.2%5d-10.7%20d-24.6%
RS5d-10.4%20d-26.0%
▼ outflow
Sharp selloff, -10.7% avg over 5 days
Defense & Drones · WEAK · ▼Badly trailing SPY — RS -26.0% over 20d. Money is leaving this group. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating).
▼AI Data Centers
WEAK
1d+1.5%5d-14.0%20d-16.5%
RS5d-13.7%20d-18.0%
2.3× vol▼ outflow
Sharp selloff, -14.0% avg over 5 days
AI Data Centers · WEAK · ▼Badly trailing SPY — RS -18.0% over 20d. Money is leaving this group. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Volume 2.3× the 20-day average — institutional participation. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating).
▼Aviation / eVTOL
WEAK
1d+4.6%5d-12.9%20d-21.6%
RS5d-12.7%20d-23.1%
▼ outflow
Sharp selloff, -12.9% avg over 5 days
Aviation / eVTOL · WEAK · ▼Badly trailing SPY — RS -23.1% over 20d. Money is leaving this group. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating).
▼Quantum Computing
WEAK
1d+5.7%5d-13.3%20d-18.8%
RS5d-13.1%20d-20.2%
1.3× vol▼ outflow
Sharp selloff, -13.3% avg over 5 days
Quantum Computing · WEAK · ▼Badly trailing SPY — RS -20.2% over 20d. Money is leaving this group. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Volume 1.3× the 20-day average — institutional participation. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating).
▼Rare Earths
WEAK
1d+3.7%5d-12.2%20d-26.6%
RS5d-11.9%20d-28.0%
1.4× vol▼ outflow
2 of 11 names breaking down
Rare Earths · WEAK · ▼Badly trailing SPY — RS -28.0% over 20d. Money is leaving this group. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Volume 1.4× the 20-day average — institutional participation. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating). Scanner flags 0 bullish / 2 bearish setups in the group.
▼Space
WEAK
1d+3.5%5d-13.7%20d-21.8%
RS5d-13.5%20d-23.2%
▼ outflow
Sharp selloff, -13.7% avg over 5 days
Space · WEAK · ▼Badly trailing SPY — RS -23.2% over 20d. Money is leaving this group. Trend is down (BEAR) — favors puts. Money rotating out (recent pace decelerating). Scanner flags 0 bullish / 1 bearish setup in the group.